Wednesday, December 3, 2008

NBR Predictions

Tomorrow the Oscar season truly begins in earnest. In the grand scheme of the Oscar race, The National Board of Review means very little. They are however the first major awards body to hand out their awards, and that alone makes them important to watch.

Now then, they are a notoriously difficult group to predict, as they seemingly draw winners from a hat sometimes. Their Top 10 is always shocking in one way or another (everybody likes to point to their baffling inclusion of The Bucket List last year), but it's in the top categories where a film or actor can begin their road to the gold. True momentum can begin here.

Judging by their history, the NBR likes to single out safe or quote-unquote important films. I think this gives Milk, and to a lesser extent, Frost/Nixon, a slight edge in the Best Picture category. I also think Sean Penn picks up the Best Actor award. The female side of the equation will be the more interesting to watch, as no clear frontrunner has emerged in either category. I think this may be down to Kate Winslet and Cate Blanchett, and based on instict alone, I'll go with the former. Although Meryl Streep fits the criteria of a vet they would love to award.

Anyway, here are my predix, sure to be wrong but on display for you and yours nonetheless.

NBR Precitions (Main Categories)

Top Ten:
The Curious Case of Benajamin Button
Defiance
Gran Torino
Slumdog Millionaire
The Reader
The Visitor
Frost/Nixon
Rachel Getting Married
The Dark Knight
Doubt

Best Picture: Milk
Best Director: Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
Best Actor: Sean Penn, Milk
Best Actress: Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road
Best Supporting Actor: Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Best Supporting Actress: Rosemarie DeWitt, Rachel Getting Married
Best Orginal Screenplay: Rachel Getting Married
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Best Animated Film: Wall-E
Best Ensemble Cast: Doubt
Best Documentary: Man On Wire
Best Foreign Film: Everlasting Moments

1 comment:

sam.c.mac. said...

OK, I'll play your little game ;)

Sam's NBR Precitions:

Top Ten:
Slumdog Millionaire
The Reader
Frost/Nixon
Rachel Getting Married
The Dark Knight
Milk
Australia
Revolutionary Road
Frozen River
Gran Torino

Best Picture: The Curious Case of Benajamin Button
Best Director: Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight
Best Actor: Sean Penn, Milk
Best Actress: Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road
Best Supporting Actor: Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis, Doubt
Best Orginal Screenplay: Rachel Getting Married
Best Adapted Screenplay: Slumdog Millionaire
Best Animated Film: Wall-E
Best Ensemble Cast: The Dark Knight
Best Documentary: Trouble The Water
Best Foreign Film: Gomorra