Now then, they are a notoriously difficult group to predict, as they seemingly draw winners from a hat sometimes. Their Top 10 is always shocking in one way or another (everybody likes to point to their baffling inclusion of The Bucket List last year), but it's in the top categories where a film or actor can begin their road to the gold. True momentum can begin here.
Judging by their history, the NBR likes to single out safe or quote-unquote important films. I think this gives Milk, and to a lesser extent, Frost/Nixon, a slight edge in the Best Picture category. I also think Sean Penn picks up the Best Actor award. The female side of the equation will be the more interesting to watch, as no clear frontrunner has emerged in either category. I think this may be down to Kate Winslet and Cate Blanchett, and based on instict alone, I'll go with the former. Although Meryl Streep fits the criteria of a vet they would love to award.
Anyway, here are my predix, sure to be wrong but on display for you and yours nonetheless.
NBR Precitions (Main Categories)
The Curious Case of Benajamin Button
Rachel Getting Married
The Dark Knight
Best Picture: Milk
Best Director: Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
Best Actor: Sean Penn, Milk
Best Actress: Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road
Best Supporting Actor: Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Best Supporting Actress: Rosemarie DeWitt, Rachel Getting Married
Best Orginal Screenplay: Rachel Getting Married
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Best Animated Film: Wall-E
Best Ensemble Cast: Doubt
Best Documentary: Man On Wire
Best Foreign Film: Everlasting Moments